I find that the pacifying force ratio that worked
okay in Malaysia in the 1950s was one in fifty, or
20 to a thousand. Also my first post should have said "adult
civilians", not just "civilians. Sorry, big
difference, and it changes all the numbers. The
adult population of Iraq is about 15,000,000.
The average age of the populace was 19.2
years old in December 2004.So, using the 1 to 50 Malaysian model, we
arrive at General Shinseki's 300,000 troops, or
roughly twice what we have now. But where the
Malaysian model falls apart is that we werent
facing a full-scale insurgency, certainly not on
the level that we're facing now.. Actually, in
counterinsurgency, the US-preferred minimum
is 3 troopers to 1 insurgent!! How one would
count insurgents in Iraq right now is beyond me.
B
Baerwald
(view)
I find that the pacifying force ratio that worked
okay in Malaysia in the 1950s was one in fifty, or
20 to a thousand. Also my first post should have said "adult
civilians", not just "civilians. Sorry, big
difference, and it changes all the numbers. The
adult population of Iraq is about 15,000,000.
The average age of the populace was 19.2
years old in December 2004.So, using the 1 to 50 Malaysian model, we
arrive at General Shinseki's 300,000 troops, or
roughly twice what we have now. But where the
Malaysian model falls apart is that we werent
facing a full-scale insurgency, certainly not on
the level that we're facing now.. Actually, in
counterinsurgency, the US-preferred minimum
is 3 troopers to 1 insurgent!! How one would
count insurgents in Iraq right now is beyond me.
