Green Mtn
location: Observing the Progressive madness with considerably less amusement.
listening to: Grandchildren, the best reason for saving the future.
registered: 2004.04.03
posts: 2617
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The poor are always the first to suffer(they're suffering now), and
that's scientific proof or increases the urgency regarding global
warming how?
Clever joke SRB, I'm going to borrow it. Should I credit you?
How pompous the notion man could create or alter this
situation,
should time prove it accurate. A few decades ago we were headed
into an ice age. That must explain the last two weeks of weather
locally. And what of the mini ice age which recently ended in the
early nineteeneth century?
If you'd like something that is going to be truly devastating,
and
may, along with the hotter period the sun has been going through,
have something to do with global warming, wait 'til the earth's
electromagnetic field resets. Hawaii could suddenly become the
north or south pole. Are ya scared yet? Science says we're due fer
a reset! What's anybody going to do about that? Do ya suppose
it's time to crank up off-earth living accomodations?
Global warming may be occurring, but is man really the
primary
problem? Doubtful. This is pure politics folks. This is part and
parcel of neo-feudalism as proposed by the UN beginning in the
1960's when eminent ice age was the theme. Which is also when
and where this whole enviromental hysteria began. It's a
machination designed to be so all-encompassing that humanity,
including Americans, will cede their freedoms(that the earth might
be saved) in exchange fer a dubious safety. I know most of ya
can't fathom that, but there ya have it my friends.
Anyhow, do note the 4 paragraphs before the final paragraph
in
the article below.
peaceably
ps Just because Dale, in this instance, holds the minority
view on
DBIS, doesn't make him wrong. It's entirely possible, even likely,
that the majority is just an 'ignorant mob' being lead about by
consensus fearmongering.
"A commonly cited proof for human-caused global warming claims
there is a scientific consensus. This claim is based mainly on a
flawed essay by Naomi Oreskes of the University of California, San
Diego, which appeared in the journal Science in December 2004.
But even if a majority of scientists had voted for human-caused
global warming, that's not how science works. Unlike in politics,
the majority does not rule. Rather, every advance in science has
come from a minority that found that observed facts contradicted
the prevailing hypothesis. Sometimes it took only one scientist;
think of Galileo or Einstein. "
~~~ from a friend:
The problem in science is separating epistemology from evidence.
When evidence is selected according to one's beliefs, the resulting
essay may have the footnote structure of science, but is unreliable.
Certain elements of logic control selection of explanations for
natural phenomena. The most prominent logical element is that no
fact may be ignored. The Global Warming hysteria simply ignores
a substantial body of data that cannot be crammed into the
hypothesis that carbon dioxide causes global warming. Unless and
until the persons who parade themselves as scientists in this issue
explain the facts which negate their conclusions, they do not
deserve to be credited. That does not make me a DENIER. It
means that the proponents have failed to make their case. There is
a huge difference.
Global warming or global cooling?
SWAMINOMICS/SWAMINATHAN S ANKLESARIA AIYAR
Almost as soon as the Kyoto Protocol on global warming
came into
effect on February 15, Kashmir suffered the highest snowfall in
three decades with over 150 killed, and Mumbai recorded the
lowest temperature in 40 years. Had temperatures been the highest
for decades, newspapers would have declared this was proof of
global warming. But whenever temperatures drop, the press keeps
quiet.
Things were different in 1940-70, when there was global
cooling.
Every cold winter then was hailed as proof of a coming new Ice
Age. But the moment cooling was replaced by warming, a new
disaster in the opposite direction was proclaimed.
A recent Washington Post article gave this scientist's quote
from
1972. "We simply cannot afford to gamble. We cannot risk inaction.
The scientists who disagree are acting irresponsibly. The
indications that our climate can soon change for the worse are too
strong to be reasonably ignored." The warning was not about
global warming (which was not happening): it was about global
cooling!
In the media, disaster is news, and its absence is not. This
principle
has been exploited so skillfully by ecological scare-mongers that it
is now regarded as politically incorrect, even unscientific, to
denounce global warming hysteria as unproven speculation.
Meteorologists are a standing joke for getting predictions
wrong
even a few days ahead. The same jokers are being taken seriously
when they use computer models to predict the weather 100 years
hence.
The models have not been tested for reliability over 100
years, or
even 20 years. Different models yield variations in warming of
400%, which means they are statistically meaningless.
Wassily Leontief, Nobel prize winner for modeling, said this
about
the limits of models. "We move from more or less plausible but
really arbitrary assumptions, to elegantly demonstrated but
irrelevant conclusions." Exactly. Assume continued warming as in
the last three decades, and you get a warming disaster. Assume
more episodes of global cooling, and you get a cooling disaster.
In his latest best seller State of Fear, Michael Crichton does a
devastating expose of the way ecological groups have tweaked
data and facts to create mass hysteria. He points out that we know
astonishingly little about the environment. All sides make
exaggerated claims.
We know that atmospheric carbon is increasing. We are also
in the
midst of a natural warming trend that started in 1850 at the end of
what is called the Little Ice Age. It is scientifically impossible to
prove whether the subsequent warming is natural or man-made.
Greens say, rightly, that the best scientific assessment today
is that
global warming is occurring. Yet never in history have scientists
accurately predicted what will happen 100 years later. A century
ago no scientists predicted the internet, microwave ovens, TV,
nuclear explosions or antibiotics. It is impossible, even stupid, to
predict the distant future.
That scientific truth is rarely mentioned. Why? Because the
global
warming movement has now become a multi-billion dollar
enterprise with thousands of jobs and millions in funding for NGOs
and think-tanks, top jobs and prizes for scientists, and huge media
coverage for predictions of disaster.
The vested interests in the global warming theory are now as
strong, rich and politically influential as the biggest multinationals.
It is no co-incidence, says Crichton, that so many scientists
sceptical of global warming are retired professors: they have no
need to chase research grants and chairs.
I have long been an agnostic on global warming: the evidence
is
ambiguous. But I almost became a convert when Greenpeace
publicised photos showing the disastrously rapid retreat of the
Upsala Glacier in Argentina. How disastrous, I thought, if this was
the coming fate of all glaciers.
Then last Christmas, I went on vacation to Lake Argentina.
The
Upsala glacier and six other glaciers descend from the South
Andean icefield into the lake. I was astounded to discover that
while the Upsala glacier had retreated rapidly, the other glaciers
showed little movement, and one had advanced across the lake
into the Magellan peninsula. If in the same area some glaciers
advance and others retreat, the cause is clearly not global warming
but local micro-conditions.
Yet the Greenpeace photos gave the impression that glaciers
in
general were in rapid retreat. It was a con job, a dishonest effort to
mislead. From the same icefield, another major glacier spilling into
Chile has grown 60% in volume.
Greenpeace and other ecological groups have well-
intentioned
people with high ideals. But as crusaders they want to win by any
means, honest or not. I do not like being taken for a ride, by
idealists or anyone else.
We need impartial research, funded neither by MNCs,
governmental
groups or NGOs with private agendas. And the media needs to stop
highlighting disaster scares and ignoring exposes of the scares.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/
1034077.cms
–--
“Restriction of free thought and free speech is the most dangerous of all subversions.” Wm O. Douglas
“Restriction of free thought and free speech is the most dangerous of all subversions.” Wm O. Douglas
G
Green Mtn
(view)
The poor are always the first to suffer(they're suffering now), and
that's scientific proof or increases the urgency regarding global
warming how?
Clever joke SRB, I'm going to borrow it. Should I credit you?
How pompous the notion man could create or alter this
situation,
should time prove it accurate. A few decades ago we were headed
into an ice age. That must explain the last two weeks of weather
locally. And what of the mini ice age which recently ended in the
early nineteeneth century?
If you'd like something that is going to be truly devastating,
and
may, along with the hotter period the sun has been going through,
have something to do with global warming, wait 'til the earth's
electromagnetic field resets. Hawaii could suddenly become the
north or south pole. Are ya scared yet? Science says we're due fer
a reset! What's anybody going to do about that? Do ya suppose
it's time to crank up off-earth living accomodations?
Global warming may be occurring, but is man really the
primary
problem? Doubtful. This is pure politics folks. This is part and
parcel of neo-feudalism as proposed by the UN beginning in the
1960's when eminent ice age was the theme. Which is also when
and where this whole enviromental hysteria began. It's a
machination designed to be so all-encompassing that humanity,
including Americans, will cede their freedoms(that the earth might
be saved) in exchange fer a dubious safety. I know most of ya
can't fathom that, but there ya have it my friends.
Anyhow, do note the 4 paragraphs before the final paragraph
in
the article below.
peaceably
ps Just because Dale, in this instance, holds the minority
view on
DBIS, doesn't make him wrong. It's entirely possible, even likely,
that the majority is just an 'ignorant mob' being lead about by
consensus fearmongering.
"A commonly cited proof for human-caused global warming claims
there is a scientific consensus. This claim is based mainly on a
flawed essay by Naomi Oreskes of the University of California, San
Diego, which appeared in the journal Science in December 2004.
But even if a majority of scientists had voted for human-caused
global warming, that's not how science works. Unlike in politics,
the majority does not rule. Rather, every advance in science has
come from a minority that found that observed facts contradicted
the prevailing hypothesis. Sometimes it took only one scientist;
think of Galileo or Einstein. "
~~~ from a friend:
The problem in science is separating epistemology from evidence.
When evidence is selected according to one's beliefs, the resulting
essay may have the footnote structure of science, but is unreliable.
Certain elements of logic control selection of explanations for
natural phenomena. The most prominent logical element is that no
fact may be ignored. The Global Warming hysteria simply ignores
a substantial body of data that cannot be crammed into the
hypothesis that carbon dioxide causes global warming. Unless and
until the persons who parade themselves as scientists in this issue
explain the facts which negate their conclusions, they do not
deserve to be credited. That does not make me a DENIER. It
means that the proponents have failed to make their case. There is
a huge difference.
Global warming or global cooling?
SWAMINOMICS/SWAMINATHAN S ANKLESARIA AIYAR
Almost as soon as the Kyoto Protocol on global warming
came into
effect on February 15, Kashmir suffered the highest snowfall in
three decades with over 150 killed, and Mumbai recorded the
lowest temperature in 40 years. Had temperatures been the highest
for decades, newspapers would have declared this was proof of
global warming. But whenever temperatures drop, the press keeps
quiet.
Things were different in 1940-70, when there was global
cooling.
Every cold winter then was hailed as proof of a coming new Ice
Age. But the moment cooling was replaced by warming, a new
disaster in the opposite direction was proclaimed.
A recent Washington Post article gave this scientist's quote
from
1972. "We simply cannot afford to gamble. We cannot risk inaction.
The scientists who disagree are acting irresponsibly. The
indications that our climate can soon change for the worse are too
strong to be reasonably ignored." The warning was not about
global warming (which was not happening): it was about global
cooling!
In the media, disaster is news, and its absence is not. This
principle
has been exploited so skillfully by ecological scare-mongers that it
is now regarded as politically incorrect, even unscientific, to
denounce global warming hysteria as unproven speculation.
Meteorologists are a standing joke for getting predictions
wrong
even a few days ahead. The same jokers are being taken seriously
when they use computer models to predict the weather 100 years
hence.
The models have not been tested for reliability over 100
years, or
even 20 years. Different models yield variations in warming of
400%, which means they are statistically meaningless.
Wassily Leontief, Nobel prize winner for modeling, said this
about
the limits of models. "We move from more or less plausible but
really arbitrary assumptions, to elegantly demonstrated but
irrelevant conclusions." Exactly. Assume continued warming as in
the last three decades, and you get a warming disaster. Assume
more episodes of global cooling, and you get a cooling disaster.
In his latest best seller State of Fear, Michael Crichton does a
devastating expose of the way ecological groups have tweaked
data and facts to create mass hysteria. He points out that we know
astonishingly little about the environment. All sides make
exaggerated claims.
We know that atmospheric carbon is increasing. We are also
in the
midst of a natural warming trend that started in 1850 at the end of
what is called the Little Ice Age. It is scientifically impossible to
prove whether the subsequent warming is natural or man-made.
Greens say, rightly, that the best scientific assessment today
is that
global warming is occurring. Yet never in history have scientists
accurately predicted what will happen 100 years later. A century
ago no scientists predicted the internet, microwave ovens, TV,
nuclear explosions or antibiotics. It is impossible, even stupid, to
predict the distant future.
That scientific truth is rarely mentioned. Why? Because the
global
warming movement has now become a multi-billion dollar
enterprise with thousands of jobs and millions in funding for NGOs
and think-tanks, top jobs and prizes for scientists, and huge media
coverage for predictions of disaster.
The vested interests in the global warming theory are now as
strong, rich and politically influential as the biggest multinationals.
It is no co-incidence, says Crichton, that so many scientists
sceptical of global warming are retired professors: they have no
need to chase research grants and chairs.
I have long been an agnostic on global warming: the evidence
is
ambiguous. But I almost became a convert when Greenpeace
publicised photos showing the disastrously rapid retreat of the
Upsala Glacier in Argentina. How disastrous, I thought, if this was
the coming fate of all glaciers.
Then last Christmas, I went on vacation to Lake Argentina.
The
Upsala glacier and six other glaciers descend from the South
Andean icefield into the lake. I was astounded to discover that
while the Upsala glacier had retreated rapidly, the other glaciers
showed little movement, and one had advanced across the lake
into the Magellan peninsula. If in the same area some glaciers
advance and others retreat, the cause is clearly not global warming
but local micro-conditions.
Yet the Greenpeace photos gave the impression that glaciers
in
general were in rapid retreat. It was a con job, a dishonest effort to
mislead. From the same icefield, another major glacier spilling into
Chile has grown 60% in volume.
Greenpeace and other ecological groups have well-
intentioned
people with high ideals. But as crusaders they want to win by any
means, honest or not. I do not like being taken for a ride, by
idealists or anyone else.
We need impartial research, funded neither by MNCs,
governmental
groups or NGOs with private agendas. And the media needs to stop
highlighting disaster scares and ignoring exposes of the scares.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/
1034077.cms
–--
“Restriction of free thought and free speech is the most dangerous of all subversions.” Wm O. Douglas
“Restriction of free thought and free speech is the most dangerous of all subversions.” Wm O. Douglas
