I agree with Dave...
Reg
location: back to the wilderness
listening to: static
registered: 1999.11.22
The big factor in this election is that well more than half of the country is not at all satisfied with the Bush administration or the direction we are headed in. In a situation like that anyone that knows politics will tell you that is going to hurt the incumbent in a big way. The key question in a voters mind is "Am I satisfied?" and any honest look at this at present returns a resounding "NO!" from a majority of people here.
Add this to Dave's point about how Bush barely won the last election and how Republican support has eroded for Bush (not evident in the truly wacko media voices on the conservative side but in the quiet reasoned members of the party) and what we have is strong signals pointing toward a Bush defeat. To pile on the evidence Kerry/Edwards is a stronger ticket than Gore/Lieberman was. Gore had to try and climb out from under a flood of Clinton bashing leaving him a tainted candidate. Also add the fact that most of America knows the Bush administration made a variety of rather large blunders with Iraq. Sure, we can argue the nature of those blunders till the end of time (if lies and deception were a part of it or it was just an honest mistake) but the fact remains the American people know Bushco has made error after error in it's handling of the situation.
This has put the question in peoples minds "Am I safer with an administraion that has so mishandled and made so many mistakes in it's War on Terror?" The answer coming back to that question also is "NO!"
The religious right, anti-abortion crowd wouldn't care if Bush started cross dressing and foaming at the mouth for his tv appearences...they would still remain in his pocket. So as voters in this election they don't matter. Nor do those on the hard left. These voters will vote a specific way no matter what. It's the voters that will look at the two alternatives and make a choice based on how they feel about the country and it's direction that will decide this. It's clear most of these people are all done with Bush.
The debates will determine quite a bit I think because that's when America will be paying the most attention. The only way the Kerry/Edwards ticket could lose is if they somehow screwed that up. Seems very unlikely.
–--
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
Reg
(view)
The big factor in this election is that well more than half of the country is not at all satisfied with the Bush administration or the direction we are headed in. In a situation like that anyone that knows politics will tell you that is going to hurt the incumbent in a big way. The key question in a voters mind is "Am I satisfied?" and any honest look at this at present returns a resounding "NO!" from a majority of people here.
Add this to Dave's point about how Bush barely won the last election and how Republican support has eroded for Bush (not evident in the truly wacko media voices on the conservative side but in the quiet reasoned members of the party) and what we have is strong signals pointing toward a Bush defeat. To pile on the evidence Kerry/Edwards is a stronger ticket than Gore/Lieberman was. Gore had to try and climb out from under a flood of Clinton bashing leaving him a tainted candidate. Also add the fact that most of America knows the Bush administration made a variety of rather large blunders with Iraq. Sure, we can argue the nature of those blunders till the end of time (if lies and deception were a part of it or it was just an honest mistake) but the fact remains the American people know Bushco has made error after error in it's handling of the situation.
This has put the question in peoples minds "Am I safer with an administraion that has so mishandled and made so many mistakes in it's War on Terror?" The answer coming back to that question also is "NO!"
The religious right, anti-abortion crowd wouldn't care if Bush started cross dressing and foaming at the mouth for his tv appearences...they would still remain in his pocket. So as voters in this election they don't matter. Nor do those on the hard left. These voters will vote a specific way no matter what. It's the voters that will look at the two alternatives and make a choice based on how they feel about the country and it's direction that will decide this. It's clear most of these people are all done with Bush.
The debates will determine quite a bit I think because that's when America will be paying the most attention. The only way the Kerry/Edwards ticket could lose is if they somehow screwed that up. Seems very unlikely.
–--
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
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