People's basic ideas about the world get stuck in their heads at a
pretty young age, unless you're willing to go through the painful
process throughout your life of un-sticking them. Andrea and Jan
and I, for instance, grew up in households packed to the gills with
political scientists, diplomats, scientists, intelligence specialists,
and the like. Our father's best friend was a lifelong intelligence
officer and diplomat. He wrote the book on effective interrogation
techniques for the US War College. Another family friend was a
long-time CIA analyst turned highly esteemed historian. Our own
father got his graduate degree partly courtesy of US Army
Intelligence. We listened, not talked, because that's what children
are supposed to do in those situations. We learned early on, in
very tactile fashion, that politicians like to make stuff up, and make
self-serving statements on a regular basis. We learned that
intelligence analysts often face enormous amounts of pressure
from their civilian leadership to... Make stuff up to suit a political
end. We learned that the measure of a self-respecting intelligence
officer is how much he resists that pressure, and how much the
insists on the truth, no matter if he's fired or not. Thus, my
"groupthink" led me, early on in the run-up to the war, to
essentially pay little attention to what various politicians were
saying about Saddam's threat. To that end, I spent quite a bit of
time listening to the folks at the Association of Retired Intelligence
Officers, and similar linked websites, which unfortunately are not
available to most people, who dont get the benefit of being
exposed to them. But the consensus, early on, in spite of some
chest-beating by some of the more hawkish RIOs, became clear.
The White House was "cherrypicking", and "stovepiping"
intelligence results to suit their desires. One of the challenges that
an intelligence analyst faces is determining the quality of
information received.. This is imperative for two reasons... 1) Self-
interested informants often make stuff up for their own
betterment, or the betterment of a group theyre involved in;, and
2) Other governments often make up their own lies about one
thing or other, and try to get those lies into other intelligence
agencies' files to confuse and subvert operations. The first is
called self-interested lying. The second is called disinformation.
Disinformation is relatively easy to spot, on a propaganda level, at
least, because it is designed for the ears of the relatively
uninformed.
(Television news, and Fox News paticularly, is an example of that
kind of a propaganda organ) Another type would be the
"Command propaganda" organ, an organ designed to effect the
opinions of opinion leaders, like politicians, media insiders, etc...
The WHIG, or White House Iraq Group,was that type of
disinformation organ. They specialised in ignoring A: credible
intelligence that reflected poorly on the White House's goal to link
Saddam to 9/11 and WMDs, and B: to promoting unfounded
statements from self-interested liars, and foreign disinformation
specialists who were willing to support the Saddam/WMD/9/11
mythology. Like Achmed Chalabi, for instance, who was well-
known to run a document forgery factory somewhere in Eastern
Europe, and who later turned out to be an Iranian intelligence
asset. (D'oh!)
WHIG staffers would have lunch with Chalabi, and say something
like, "Gee, we wish we could find some proof that chemwar
weapons are being stockpiled in Kirkuk"... Chalabi would run off to
his communicattions room and tell his forgers to cook something
up about chemwar in Kirkuk. Those forged documents were
"stovepiped", ie sent to the highest offices in the land without
being vetted by an experienced professional analyst..
This was obvious from the start to anyone who grew up
paying
attention to this sort of stuff.
It was also obvious to folks who grew up paying attention to
this
stuff that the US in particular, and Western democracies had a
serious problem regarding "blowback" from our anti-Soviet
adventures in Afghanistan. Al Qaeda, SCIRI, Hezbollah, etc... were
all strengthened, trained, and supported by American clandestine
services in Afghanistan and other countries in the region. They
didnt like us, really the mujahideen, and it was only a matter of
time before we started feeling the effects, like the USS Cole, or
9/11.
What the professionals wanted to do, to combat this very real
problem was to conduct a very rough and nasty intelligence/police
action... Cooperating with allied intelligence agencies, grabbing
known Al Qaeda, Hezbollah, etc...organizers and their chief aides
and start peelling intelligence out of them, which could then fit in
with intelligence gathered in other areas and provide police with
the information necessary to arrest them and bring them to trial.
The realities of that kind of operation are pretty unpleasant to
the
recipients of that kind of interest.
In some cases, the grisly realities of that operation might
even
appeal to the emotionalist, revenge-driven motivations of the "Kill
the Raghead" crowd.
But it would not involve high-altitude bombings, for the most
part,
and certainly not on civilian centers.
It would not involve large-scale troop movements, or artillery
assaults. It would not involve indiscriminate horrors such as Abu
Ghraib, or Guantanamo, or any of these "rendition" destinations.
It would not involve back room deals with the likes of Chalabi
or
Musharraf.
Anyway, I could go on for days, but I know how you like your
little
soundbites, Dale, and find it hard to absorb things that take a bit
of time. Suffice it to say that I am indeed a product of my
upbringing, inclinations, and environment as much as anyone else.
What did you grow up listening to, Dale? Are you possibly a
product of your upbringing, inclinations, and environment as well?
B
Baerwald
(view)
People's basic ideas about the world get stuck in their heads at a
pretty young age, unless you're willing to go through the painful
process throughout your life of un-sticking them. Andrea and Jan
and I, for instance, grew up in households packed to the gills with
political scientists, diplomats, scientists, intelligence specialists,
and the like. Our father's best friend was a lifelong intelligence
officer and diplomat. He wrote the book on effective interrogation
techniques for the US War College. Another family friend was a
long-time CIA analyst turned highly esteemed historian. Our own
father got his graduate degree partly courtesy of US Army
Intelligence. We listened, not talked, because that's what children
are supposed to do in those situations. We learned early on, in
very tactile fashion, that politicians like to make stuff up, and make
self-serving statements on a regular basis. We learned that
intelligence analysts often face enormous amounts of pressure
from their civilian leadership to... Make stuff up to suit a political
end. We learned that the measure of a self-respecting intelligence
officer is how much he resists that pressure, and how much the
insists on the truth, no matter if he's fired or not. Thus, my
"groupthink" led me, early on in the run-up to the war, to
essentially pay little attention to what various politicians were
saying about Saddam's threat. To that end, I spent quite a bit of
time listening to the folks at the Association of Retired Intelligence
Officers, and similar linked websites, which unfortunately are not
available to most people, who dont get the benefit of being
exposed to them. But the consensus, early on, in spite of some
chest-beating by some of the more hawkish RIOs, became clear.
The White House was "cherrypicking", and "stovepiping"
intelligence results to suit their desires. One of the challenges that
an intelligence analyst faces is determining the quality of
information received.. This is imperative for two reasons... 1) Self-
interested informants often make stuff up for their own
betterment, or the betterment of a group theyre involved in;, and
2) Other governments often make up their own lies about one
thing or other, and try to get those lies into other intelligence
agencies' files to confuse and subvert operations. The first is
called self-interested lying. The second is called disinformation.
Disinformation is relatively easy to spot, on a propaganda level, at
least, because it is designed for the ears of the relatively
uninformed.
(Television news, and Fox News paticularly, is an example of that
kind of a propaganda organ) Another type would be the
"Command propaganda" organ, an organ designed to effect the
opinions of opinion leaders, like politicians, media insiders, etc...
The WHIG, or White House Iraq Group,was that type of
disinformation organ. They specialised in ignoring A: credible
intelligence that reflected poorly on the White House's goal to link
Saddam to 9/11 and WMDs, and B: to promoting unfounded
statements from self-interested liars, and foreign disinformation
specialists who were willing to support the Saddam/WMD/9/11
mythology. Like Achmed Chalabi, for instance, who was well-
known to run a document forgery factory somewhere in Eastern
Europe, and who later turned out to be an Iranian intelligence
asset. (D'oh!)
WHIG staffers would have lunch with Chalabi, and say something
like, "Gee, we wish we could find some proof that chemwar
weapons are being stockpiled in Kirkuk"... Chalabi would run off to
his communicattions room and tell his forgers to cook something
up about chemwar in Kirkuk. Those forged documents were
"stovepiped", ie sent to the highest offices in the land without
being vetted by an experienced professional analyst..
This was obvious from the start to anyone who grew up
paying
attention to this sort of stuff.
It was also obvious to folks who grew up paying attention to
this
stuff that the US in particular, and Western democracies had a
serious problem regarding "blowback" from our anti-Soviet
adventures in Afghanistan. Al Qaeda, SCIRI, Hezbollah, etc... were
all strengthened, trained, and supported by American clandestine
services in Afghanistan and other countries in the region. They
didnt like us, really the mujahideen, and it was only a matter of
time before we started feeling the effects, like the USS Cole, or
9/11.
What the professionals wanted to do, to combat this very real
problem was to conduct a very rough and nasty intelligence/police
action... Cooperating with allied intelligence agencies, grabbing
known Al Qaeda, Hezbollah, etc...organizers and their chief aides
and start peelling intelligence out of them, which could then fit in
with intelligence gathered in other areas and provide police with
the information necessary to arrest them and bring them to trial.
The realities of that kind of operation are pretty unpleasant to
the
recipients of that kind of interest.
In some cases, the grisly realities of that operation might
even
appeal to the emotionalist, revenge-driven motivations of the "Kill
the Raghead" crowd.
But it would not involve high-altitude bombings, for the most
part,
and certainly not on civilian centers.
It would not involve large-scale troop movements, or artillery
assaults. It would not involve indiscriminate horrors such as Abu
Ghraib, or Guantanamo, or any of these "rendition" destinations.
It would not involve back room deals with the likes of Chalabi
or
Musharraf.
Anyway, I could go on for days, but I know how you like your
little
soundbites, Dale, and find it hard to absorb things that take a bit
of time. Suffice it to say that I am indeed a product of my
upbringing, inclinations, and environment as much as anyone else.
What did you grow up listening to, Dale? Are you possibly a
product of your upbringing, inclinations, and environment as well?
posted 2007.02.22
posted on February 22nd 2007
-
Bravo! – dale on February 19th, 2007-
Re: Bravo! – kravitz on February 19th, 2007-
Re: Bravo! – dale on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Bravo! – MJG on February 20th, 2007-
Dale, I Will Speak Slowly, In Words Of One Syllable – Baerwald on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Dale, I Will Speak Slowly, In Words Of One Syllable – dale on February 20th, 2007-
So Dale... One question.. – edlorah on February 20th, 2007-
Re: So Dale... One question.. – dale on February 20th, 2007-
Re: So Dale... One question.. – edlorah on February 20th, 2007-
Re: So Dale... One question.. – dale on February 20th, 2007-
Re: So Dale... One question.. – edlorah on February 20th, 2007-
Re: So Dale... One question.. – messybear on February 23rd, 2007
Re: So Dale... One question.. – pkjensen on February 20th, 2007
Re: Dale, I Will Speak Slowly, In Words Of One Syllable – Baerwald on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Dale, I Will Speak Slowly, In Words Of One Syllable – dale on February 20th, 2007
Re: Dale, I Will Speak Slowly, In Words Of One Syllable – Eugene on February 20th, 2007
In Words Of One Syllable – messybear on March 1st, 2007-
The F-Words Of One (correction [fwiw] ) – messybear on March 22nd, 2007
Brzezinski, Islamo-facism, and Dale – Reg on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Brzezinski, Islamo-facism, and Dale – dale on February 20th, 2007-
Length and Mitt – Reg on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Length and Mitt – dale on February 22nd, 2007
Re: Bravo! – Reg on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Bravo! – dale on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Bravo! – Reg on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Now Reg.... – dale on February 20th, 2007-
Re: Now Dale.... – pkjensen on February 21st, 2007-
Re: Now PK... – dale on February 21st, 2007-
Re: Now PK... – Baerwald on February 21st, 2007-
Re: Now DB... – dale on February 21st, 2007-
Re: Now look What You've Done DB... – edlorah on February 21st, 2007-
Re: Now look What You've Done DB... – dale on February 21st, 2007
Re: Now DB... – pkjensen on February 22nd, 2007
...and WHO are the Left anyways? – edlorah on February 21st, 2007
Re: Now PK... – pkjensen on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Now PK... – dale on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Now PK... – pkjensen on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Now PK... – dale on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Now PK... – pkjensen on February 22nd, 2007
Sorry, but this fits here... – Reg on February 22nd, 2007
Dale... – Kevin G on February 22nd, 2007-
Kevin... – edlorah on February 22nd, 2007-
Ed – Kevin G on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Ed – edlorah on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Ed – dale on February 22nd, 2007
umm... – Reg on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: umm... – edlorah on February 22nd, 2007
Good post, Kev – Reg on February 22nd, 2007
Re: Now Reg.... – Reg on February 22nd, 2007-
Groupthink – Baerwald on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Groupthink – dale on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Baerwald on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – dale on February 22nd, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Baerwald on February 23rd, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Reg on February 23rd, 2007-
Okay Reg... – edlorah on February 23rd, 2007-
Re: Okay Reg... – Reg on February 24th, 2007
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – pkjensen on February 24th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Reg on February 24th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Baerwald on February 26th, 2007-
I know Dale will bash me for posting another quote... – Reg on February 26th, 2007
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Eugene on February 26th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Baerwald on February 26th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – stark raving brad on February 27th, 2007
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – dale on February 27th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Reg on February 27th, 2007
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Baerwald on February 27th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – dale on February 27th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – Baerwald on February 27th, 2007
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – pkjensen on February 27th, 2007-
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – dale on February 27th, 2007-
Once again Dale, you completely miss the mark. – pkjensen on February 27th, 2007
Sorry, Dale Shot First – edlorah on February 27th, 2007
Re: Groupthink... Edited. Sorry, Dale, Shot first, thought later. – messybear on February 27th, 2007
Re: Groupthink- edited for humorous content not for snarkiness.. – edlorah on February 22nd, 2007
Well Dale... – Reg on February 22nd, 2007
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